Hi ZS, assuming that whether not really one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, anyhow?) is independent from winning or losing on any other scratch ticket, you treat each event as an independent event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent ordeals. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Propensity the possibilities of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets one after the other (if that maybe what your is actually asking) should be (2/3)^30 = approximately 0.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 through 10 million, which boils down to 1 chance out of 192,307.

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